Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.093719 1.301153 1.518236 1.760838 2.022959 2.296327 2.601710
2025-02-02 0.861000 1.161592 1.495578 1.887624 2.329329 2.806482 3.356067
2025-02-09 0.747612 1.101027 1.509669 2.004104 2.574853 3.203462 3.939264
2025-02-16 0.638708 1.027741 1.495346 2.077078 2.763067 3.531113 4.442171
2025-02-23 0.532082 0.939407 1.448510 2.098884 2.880930 3.769385 4.835501
2025-03-02 0.406096 0.807731 1.334415 2.028182 2.880649 3.864415 5.059299
2025-03-09 0.298948 0.684466 1.217912 1.943413 2.854314 3.921571 5.232788
2025-03-16 0.226048 0.598270 1.140882 1.900500 2.872239 4.025396 5.455588
2025-03-23 0.187731 0.559940 1.125077 1.933230 2.980872 4.235163 5.800849
2025-03-30 0.148071 0.511465 1.089967 1.936801 3.050239 4.395713 6.086434
2025-04-06 0.107937 0.452323 1.033382 1.907150 3.074236 4.498837 6.301834
2025-04-13 0.095227 0.445282 1.054492 1.983116 3.233103 4.766356 6.713509
2025-04-20 0.085346 0.444995 1.089601 2.084485 3.433027 5.094379 7.210608
2025-04-27 0.079062 0.452139 1.137034 2.204529 3.659354 5.457661 7.753666
2025-05-04 0.075753 0.465470 1.193911 2.337478 3.902113 5.840832 8.320234
2025-05-11 0.064582 0.455869 1.212016 2.414522 4.071293 6.132916 8.777197
2025-05-18 0.048379 0.426618 1.194730 2.438911 4.169800 6.336289 9.126170
2025-05-25 0.025607 0.362123 1.110784 2.361949 4.130585 6.365395 9.261687
2025-06-01 0.009740 0.298794 1.020458 2.269921 4.067045 6.360796 9.353405
2025-06-08 0.002800 0.256466 0.962930 2.223210 4.061591 6.426832 9.528944
2025-06-15 0.000945 0.242325 0.959175 2.258829 4.168722 6.636167 9.881056
2025-06-22 0.000014 0.220049 0.936158 2.262710 4.230981 6.787428 10.160959
2025-06-29 NaN 0.189807 0.891962 2.230454 4.241274 6.870754 10.355771